Production trend for Tesla MY

Last updated 14-Jul-2024

Using the factory gate dates for cars in our database, we can plot the factory production rates over time. The data lags slightly as Tesla need to list a car with a valid date and VIN to create a data point which usually means cars need to appear in CPO/Used inventory to appear on the chart. That said, it's typically there's usually only a small lag before we see cars with recent production dates.

Below the chart we explain each of the lines were there is more than one, which factory they come from, and notably changes in rate.

Tesla Model 3 Production

Fremont, China

Tesla Model Y Production

Fremont, China, Berlin and Texas

You can select and deselect individual locations by clicking on their name.

Model Y production has been done in 4 factories, Fremont, China, Berlin and Texas.

The first line is the Fremont production and a fairly consistent build rate has been maintained after the problems in mid 2020. The current production rate is circa 700 per day.

The second line starting in Jan 2021 is the China production. You can see the production steadily increase until the Covid issues in 2022. China production until the the Covid issues was circa 1,200 per day. After the July 2022 changes, early indications are this may have increased to as many as 2,150 cars per day. The VIN numbers also rolled over in June 2023 and a new blue line has started from the bottom of the chart.

The 3rd purple line starting to appear is Berlin. The initial trend from the factory with a build rate of approximately 130 cars per day although this has now increased (as of Aug 2023) to around 650 per day.

Texas production has almost exactly followed the Berlin production albeit with a short lag.

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